Data

Cost Economics of Aircraft Size

Wei, Wenbin
Mark Hansen
1993

The authors study the relationship between aircraft cost and size for large commercial passenger jets. Based on a translog model, they develop an econometric cost function for aircraft operating cost and find that economies of aircraft size and stage length exist at the sample mean of their data set, and that for any given stage length there is an optimal size, which increases with stage length. The scale properties of the cost function are changed considerably if pilot unit cost is treated as endogenous, since it is correlated with size. The cost-minimising aircraft size is therefore...

Demand and Consumer Welfare Impacts of International Airline Liberalization: The Case of the North Atlantic

Maillebiau, Eric
Mark Hansen
1993

Impacts of international airline bilateral liberalization on demand, fares, accessibility, and consumer welfare in the North Atlantic are studied, based on data for markets between the United States and five European countries. A demand model, estimated at the country-pair level, suggests that demand is slightly fare inelastic (e ~= -0.9), and that demand has responded positively, though inelastically (e~=0.2), to changes in accessibility (A measure of how much non-stop service is available). A yield model is estimated to assess the impact of bilateral liberalization status on fares, and...

Integrated Air Freight Cost Structure: The Case of Federal Express

Kiesling, Max K.
Mark Hansen
1993

This paper analyzes the economic structure of the integrated air freight industry. We evaluate a total cost model for Federal Express, Inc. by analyzing quarterly time-series data from 1986-1992. We find that Federal Express, and arguably all dedicated air freight carriers, exhibit diseconomies of scale and significant economies of density. We show that these two economic concepts can be restrictive, however, and introduce a third aspect of the integrated air freight industry’s economic structure that combines the effects of economies of density and economies of scale. We call it economies...

Analysis of Discrete Choice Data with Repeated Observations: Comparison of Three Techniques in Intercity Travel Case

Mehndiratta, Shomik Raj
Mark Hansen
1997

With the acceptance and widespread application of stated preference methods in transportation analysis, there has been a need for the analysis of choice data with repeated observations. Analysis of repeated choice data is complicated by correlation of responses across the choices made by a single individual. In the probit framework, repeated choice can easily be accommodated by way of correlation in the utilities associated with the errors. However, the probit framework has computational limitations; subsequently, researchers have looked to modeling repeated choice by using extensions of...

Assessing the Impact of Aviation System Performance by Using Airline Cost Functions

Mark Hansen
Gillen, David
2000
The manner in which changes in the performance of the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS) affect carrier costs is examined. The methodology includes estimation of airline cost functions that contain NAS performance metrics as arguments, using quarterly data for 10 U.S. domestic airlines. The primary interest is in the impact of delay on cost performance, and performance metrics that vary by airline and quarter are developed. The potentially large number of metrics are reduced by applying factor analysis to seven underlying variables, including average delay, delay variance, and the proportion...

Aviation Infrastructure Performance and Airline cost: A Statistical Cost Estimation Approach

Mark Hansen
Gillen, David
Djafarian-Tehrani, Reza
2001

The relationship between the performance of the US National Airspace System (NAS) and airline costs is examined by estimating airline cost functions that include NAS performance metrics as arguments, using quarterly data for 10 US domestic airlines. Performance metrics that vary by airline and quarter are developed by applying principal component analysis to seven underlying variables, including average delay, delay variance, and the proportion of flights that is cancelled. This analysis reveals that variation in the seven variables can be adequately captured by three or fewer factors,...

Induced Travel Demand and Induced Road Investment: A Simultaneous Equation Analysis

Cervero, Robert
Mark Hansen
2002

This paper presents simultaneous models that predict induced travel demand and induced road investment using an array of instrument variables reflecting political, environmental, and demographic influences. From a panel data set consisting of 22 years of observations for 34 California urban counties, short-run elasticities are estimated. Both the Vehicle– Miles-Travelled model and the Lane–Miles model feature good statistical fits and highly significant parameter estimates. While the research found strong reciprocal relationships between road investment and travel demand, the elasticity...

Development of Fast-Time Simulation Techniques to Model Safety Issues in the National Airspace System

Abkin, Michael H.
Gilgur, Alexander
Bobick, John C.
Hansman, R. John
Reynolds, Tom G.
Vigeant-Langlois, Laurence
Mark Hansen
Gosling, Geoffrey D.
Baumgardner, William F.
2002

This report constitutes the final report for Calendar Year 2001 (CY01) under Contract Number NAS2-99072 for the third year of a three-year research project entitled “Development of Fast-Time Simulation Techniques to Model Safety Issues in the National Airspace System.” The objective of this research is to investigate and develop techniques to enable NAS fast-time simulation modeling to be useful for conducting safety analysis. The research efforts focus on examining the type of safety issues that could be appropriately modeled by fast-time simulations and developing, testing, and...

The California Aviation System: Current Status and Recent Trends

Mark Hansen
Gosling, Geoffrey D.
Kettunen, Tarja
Wilkins, Erik
2002

This report presents statistical information on passenger and cargo traffic, aircraft activity and delays at California airports. Five main topics are considered: passenger enplanements, air travel origin and destination (O-D) patterns, air cargo activity, aircraft operations, and airport delays. In most cases, we present data for the state as a whole, major regions within the state, and major airports within each region. Most of the data are compiled on an annual basis for the years from 1980 to 2000. The report concludes with a discussion of the changes in activity in the California...

Scenario-Based Management of Air Traffic Flow

Liu, Pei-Chen Barry
Mark Hansen
Mukherjee, Avijit
2006
Recent studies of the single-airport ground-holding problem use static or dynamic optimization to manage uncertainty about future airport capacities. Scenario trees of airport capacity profiles provide the basis for formulating multistage recourse problems. In this paper, methodologies are presented for generating scenario trees from empirical data, and the performance of scenario-based models is examined with the scenario trees. Most U.S. airports have capacity profiles that can be classified into some nominal scenarios, and for many airports, these scenarios can be naturally combined into...