ITS Berkeley

Developing a New Methodology for Analyzing Potential Displacement

Chapple, Karen
Waddell, Paul
Chatman, Daniel
Zuk, Miriam
Loukaitou-Sideris, Anastasia
Ong, Paul
Gorska, Karolina
Pech, Chhandara
Gonzalez, Silvia R.
2017
In 2008, California passed Senate Bill 375, requiring metropolitan planning organizations to develop Sustainable Communities Strategies as part of their regional transportation planning process.While the implementation of these strategies has the potential for environmental and economic benefits, there are also potential negative social equity impacts, as rising land costs in infill development areas may result in the displacement of low-income...

Bus Rapid Transit Comes to Barranquilla: Perspectives from Metropolitan Area Residents

Santana, Manuel
2017

In this article the authors describe how the travel experiences of Barranquilla, Colombia residents have changed since the implementation of the BRT trunk-and-feeder system in 2010. Using an intercept recruitment methodology at more than 15 locations, the authors conducted dozens of interviews of Barranquilla residents. Interviewees had mixed feelings about the new system, depending partly on their socioeconomic status and their habitual mode choices. Many interviewees were pleased about reductions in travel time, particularly when referring to the trunk line services; the air...

Bus Rapid Transit Arrives in Barranquilla, Colombia: Understanding a Changing Landscape through Residents' Travel Experiences

Santana Palacios, Manuel
Cochran, Abigail
Bell, Corwin
Hernández Jiménez, Ulises
Leshner, Eleanor
Trejo Morales, Francisco
Chatman, Daniel G.
2020

In this article, we describe how the travel experiences of residents of Barranquilla, Colombia have changed since a new bus rapid transit system was deployed in 2010 along with changes to pre-existing private transit services. We recruited interview participants using intercept methods at more than fifteen locations, conducted dozens of semi-structured interviews, and used collaborative and iterative coding to analyze the data. Interviewees expressed mixed feelings about the transition from private transit to the hybrid BRT-private transit system. Many were pleased about reductions in...

Autonomous Vehicles in the United States: Understanding Why and How Cities and Regions Are Responding

Chatman, Daniel G.
Moran, Marcel
2019

This report analyzes how cities, transit agencies, and metropolitan planning organizations are responding to autonomous vehicles (AVs), both in terms of current testing and pilot services, as well as long-term implications of broad AV adoption. The report is based on 21 interviews with staff at cities, transportation agencies, MPOs, and select AV companies, as well as extensive document review. We found a broad spectrum of activity on the part of the public sector regarding AVs, as well as a taxonomy of motivations, which ranged from attempting to harness these vehicles to help boost...

Assessing the Quantification Methodology for the Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities Program

Chatman, Daniel G.
Rodynansky, Seva
Boarnet. Marlon
Comandon, Andre
Snyder, Breitling
Patel, Kieran
Atkins, Jon
2025

Do affordable housing projects in high-quality transit-oriented development areas reduce auto use? By how much? Under what conditions? These questions are complex but highly relevant for the state of California. Its Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities (AHSC) program estimates reductions in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) associated with project applications, and scores applications partly on this basis. Building on a large set of existing empirical literature, we carried out a new analysis of how the built environment affects travel in California. We relied on several data sources...

Are Movers Irrational? On Travel Patterns, Housing Characteristics, Social Interactions, and Happiness Before and After a Move

Chatman, Daniel G.
Broaddus, Andrea
Spevack, Anne
2019

Auto use in the United States is too high, and land uses are too spread out, due to market failures in transportation along with municipal restrictions on density that make residential choices suboptimal. Residential choices may also be suboptimal if households make irrational decisions when deciding where to live and how to get around—failing to account for time spent commuting, overvaluing privacy and material goods like housing, or undervaluing time spent on social activities. Such hypotheses from the behavioral economics literature have rarely been empirically explored with regard to...

Are Movers Irrational? On Travel Patterns, Housing Characteristics, Social Interactions, and Happiness Before and After a Move

Chatman, Daniel G.
2014

It is well understood that auto use is too high, and land uses are too spread out, due to market failures in transportation along with municipal restrictions on density that make residential choices suboptimal. Residential choices may also be suboptimal if households make irrational decisions when deciding where to live and how to get around—failing to account for time spent commuting, overvaluing privacy and material goods like housing, or undervaluing time spent on social activities. While such hypotheses have been identified in the behavioral psychology and experimental economics...

Analyzing the Economic Benefits and Costs of Smart Growth

Chatman, Daniel G.
Rayle, Lisa
Gabbe, C. J.
Plowman, Johnathan
Sohn, Paul
Crane, Rebecca
Spevack, Anne
Wise, Ella
Stoy, Kelan
Giottonini, M. Paloma
Ordower, Aaron
Crane, Randall
2016

California’s Senate Bill 375, (Chapter 728, Statutes of 2008), aims to reduce transportation related greenhouse gas emissions through more efficient patterns of land development. Advocates claim these smart growth policies will reduce vehicle travel while benefiting residents, cities, and regions in the form of more attractive communities, more affordable housing, and healthier municipal finances. In this study, the authors analyzed the economic impacts of existing smart growth plans similar to those currently being considered and adopted throughout metropolitan California. Through...

An Analysis of the Agglomeration Benefits of Transit Investment: A Case Study of Portland and Dallas

Noland, Robert B.
Chatman, Daniel G.
Klein, Nicholas J.
2013

The objective of this paper is to examine whether new firms are more likely to form near rail transit stations. Two relatively new light-rail systems, one in Portland, Oregon and the other in Dallas, Texas form the basis of the analysis. A geo-coded time-series database of firm births from 1991 through 2008 is analyzed using all firm births, firm births of various sizes, and firm births of specific industry sectors. A random effects negative-binomial model is used to examine associations between proximity to rail stations and other spatially defined variables. Results show that newly...

Advancing the Science of Travel Demand Forecasting

Walker, Joan L.
Chatman, Daniel
Daziano, Ricardo
Erhardt, Gregory
Gao, Song
Mahmassani, Hani
Ory, David
Sall, Elizabeth
Bhat, Chandra
Chim, Nicholas
Daniels, Clint
Gardner, Brian
Kressner, Josephine
Miller, Eric
Pereira, Francisco
Picado, Rosella
Hess, Stephane
Axhausen, Kay
Bareinboim, Elias
Ben-Akiva, Moshe
Brathwaite, Timothy
Charlton, Billy
Chen, Siyu
Circella, Giovanni
El Zarwi, Feras
Gonzalez, Marta
Harb, Mustapha
Mahmassani, Amine
McFadden, Daniel
Moekel, Rolf
Pozdnukhov, Alexei
Sheehan, Maddie
Sivakumar, Aruna
Weeks, Jennifer
Zhao, Jinhua
2019

Travel demand forecasting models play an important role in guiding policy, planning, and design of transportation systems. There is no shortage of literature critiquing the accuracy of model forecasts (see, for example, Pickrell, 1989; Wachs, 1990; Pickrell, 1992; Flyvbjerg, Skamris Holm, and Buhl 2005; Richmond, 2005; Flyvbjerg, 2007; Bain, 2009; Parthasarathi and Levinson, 2010; Welde and Odeck, 2011; Hartgen, 2013; Nicolaisen and Driscoll, 2014; Schmitt, 2016; Odeck and Welde, 2017, and Voulgaris, 2019), not to mention several high-profile lawsuits (Saulwick 2014, Stacey 2015, Rubin...