Travel Forecasting in San Francisco in a Time of Disruption: Activity-Based Model Data, Applications, Developments, and Challenges

October 27, 2023

Thank you to Joe Castiglione, Deputy Director for Technology, Data & Analysis San Francisco County Transportation Authority, who presented Travel Forecasting in San Francisco in a Time of Disruption: Activity-Based Model Data, Applications, Developments, and Challenges at the Transportation Seminar Oct. 27, 2023.

Abstract: The past decade has witnessed tremendous disruptions in travel patterns, from the emergence of new transportation-related services such as Uber and Lyft, to the deployment of autonomous vehicles (AVs), to impactful behavioral changes such as widespread embrace of work-from-home (for workers in some industries) and increased adoption of on-line shopping. These changes, and the speed with which they have occurred, present profound challenges for travel forecasting in San Francisco and the Bay Area. Joe Castiglione, Deputy Director for Technology, Data & Analysis at the San Francisco County Transportation Authority will discuss how the SFCTA has responded to these changes, in data collection, model development, and model applications.

Bio: Joe Castiglione is the Deputy Directory for Technology, Data & Analysis at the San Francisco County Transportation Authority. He has been developing, refining and applying advanced transportation supply and demand models for over 20 years. He led the development of the first activity-based travel model used extensively in application in the US, and has subsequently led efforts to integrate advanced travel demand simulations with dynamic traffic models. Joe was the primary author of the Transportation Research Board’s second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) Report S2-C46-RR-1: Activity-Based Travel Demand Models: A Primer. Recently, he has been leading the Transportation Authority’s research into the potential effects of Transportation Network Companies in San Francisco on congestion, transit ridership, and equity. Prior to joining the San Francisco County Transportation Authority, Joe worked as a consultant for transportation market research and transportation engineering firms. He has a Bachelor’s Degree from Yale with a concentration in architecture and Master of City Planning Degree from the University of California at Berkeley.