Traffic Operations and Management

Trends and 2025 Insights on the Rise of Electric Vehicles in the USA

Matteo Muratori
Doug Arent
Morgan Bazilian
John Bistline
Brennan Borlaug
Austin Brown
Pierpaolo Cazzola
Ercan Dede
Chris Gearhart
David Greene
Alan Jenn
Alissa Kendall
Catherine Ledna
Yanghe Liu
Tim Lipman
Sreekant Narumanchi
Ahmad Pesaran
Ramteen Sioshansi
Thomas Timbario
Kevin Walkowicz
Arthur Yip
2025

Plug-in electric vehicles (EVs) are reshaping the transportation energy landscape, providing a practical alternative to petroleum fuels for a growing number of applications. EV sales grew 55× in the past decade (2014–2024) and 6× since 2020, driven by technological progress enabled by policies to reduce transportation emissions as well as industrial plans motivated by strategic value of EVs for global competitiveness, jobs and geopolitics. In 2024, 22% of passenger cars sold globally were EVs and opportunities for EVs beyond on-road applications are growing, including solutions to...

Mobility 10X: Accelerating Transportation Innovation in California

Toth, Alan
Susan Shaheen
Podolsky, Laura
2026

The magazine features 10 stories that highlight the breadth and impact of the Resilient and Innovative Mobility Initiative's (RIMI's) work across the University of California Institute of Transportation Studies (UC ITS) campuses— Berkeley, Davis, Irvine, and UCLA. It also draws on related research funded through the UC ITS SB1 program, established by California’s Road Repair and Accountability Act of 2017, along with additional studies by UC ITS scholars and the broader research literature. Together, these efforts demonstrate how targeted research can achieve a 10x impact— shaping...

Electric Vehicle Charge Management Strategies to Benefit the California Electricity Grid

Tim Lipman
Yuhao Yuan
2025

Recent studies suggest that there could be significant value to electric vehicle (EV) drivers and power companies from incorporating EVs into the state’s electrical power grids, known as Vehicle-Grid Integration (VGI). However, the benefits could be highly variable depending on the location of the utility territory, vehicle type and battery capacity, the relevant timeframe, and whether the connection involves only managed charging or includes bidirectional charging permitting vehicle to grid (V2G) power transfer, and other factors. Various studies conducted to date generally conclude that...

Emerging Technologies for Higher Fuel Economy Automobile Standards

Tim Lipman
2017

Transportation systems contribute significantly to air pollution and ∼15% globally and ∼25% in the United States to emissions climate-changing gases. In the United States, the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards for motor vehicles were significantly raised in 2012 for the first time in almost three decades. The standards now call for an average across manufacturers of 54.5 miles per gallon (mpg) for new passenger cars by 2025, or 163 grams per mile (g/mi) of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and of 47 mpg (196 g/mi) by 2021. The light truck standards, which include minivans and...

Driving California’s Transportation Emissions to Zero

Austin Brown
Daniel Sperling
Bernadette Austin
J. R. DeShazo
Lew Fulton
Tim Lipman
Colin Murphy
Jean Daniel
Gil Tal
Carolyn Abrams
Debapriya Chakraborty
Daniel Coffee
Sina Dabag
Adam Davis
Mark Delucchi
Kelly Fleming
Kate Forest
Juan Carlos Garcia Sanchez
Susan Handy
Michael Hyland
Alan Jenn
Seth Karten
Blake Lane
Michael Mackinnon
Elliot Martin
Marshall Miller
Monica Ramirez-Ibarra
Stephen Ritchie
Sara Schremmer
Joshua Segui
Susan Shaheen
Andre Tok
Aditya Voleti
Julie Witcover
Allison Yang
2021

The purpose of this report is to provide a research-driven analysis of options that can put California on a pathway to achieve carbon-neutral transportation by 2045. The report comprises thirteen sections. Section 1 provides an overview of the major components of transportation systems and how those components interact. Section 2 discusses the impacts the COVID-19 pandemic has had on transportation. Section 3 discusses California’s current transportation-policy landscape. These three sections were previously published as a synthesis report. Section 4 analyzes the different carbon scenarios...

Evaluation of Fuel Cell Auxiliary Power Units for Heavy-Duty Diesel Trucks

Christie-Joy Brodrick
Tim Lipman
Mohammad Farshchi
Nicholas P. Lutsey
Harry A. Dwyer
Daniel Sperling
William Gouse
Bruce Harris
Foy King
2002

A large number of heavy-duty trucks idle a significant amount. Heavy-duty line-haul truck engines idle about 20–40% of the time the engine is running, depending on season and operation. Drivers idle engines to power climate control devices (e.g., heaters and air conditioners) and sleeper compartment accessories (e.g., refrigerators, microwave ovens, and televisions) and to avoid start-up problems in cold weather. Idling increases air pollution and energy use, as well as wear and tear on engines. Efforts to reduce truck idling in the US have been sporadic, in part because it is widely...

Optimizing fermentation process miscanthus-to-ethanol biorefinery scale under uncertain conditions

Matthew Bomberg
Daniel L Sanchez
Tim Lipman
2014

Ethanol produced from cellulosic feedstocks has garnered significant interest for greenhouse gas abatement and energy security promotion. One outstanding question in the development of a mature cellulosic ethanol industry is the optimal scale of biorefining activities. This question is important for companies and entrepreneurs seeking to construct and operate cellulosic ethanol biorefineries as it determines the size of investment needed and the amount of feedstock for which they must contract. The question also has important implications for the nature and location of lifecycle...

Electric Vehicle Charge Management for Lowering Costs and Environmental Impact

Elpiniki Apostolaki-Iosifidou
Marco Pruckner
Soomin Woo
Tim Lipman
2020

As the number of electric vehicles is increasing, there is a pervasive call for research and new strategies in the field of vehicle grid integration. Using electric vehicle real-time data, drivers' spatial behavior and patterns can be derived for their morning and evening commute. These patterns combined with dynamic electricity costs, wholesale and retail, and variable greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, lead to significant outcomes on savings and environmental impact. In this study, electric vehicle charging management is analyzed for the case of north California, using real world data. The...

Position and Speed Estimation Using Deep Learning-Based KKL Observer in Mixed Autonomy Traffic Systems

Marani, Yasmine
Fu, Zhe
N'doye, Ibrahima
Feron, Eric
Laleg-Kirati, Taous-Meriem
Alexandre Bayen
2025

This paper proposes a deep learning-based Kazantzis–Kravaris–Luenberger (KKL) observer design to estimate position and speed in mixed-autonomy traffic environments. The approach relies on position measurements of vehicles surrounding the autonomous vehicle (AV), obtained through remote sensing, resulting in a subsequent time delay due to communication latency. The proposed deep learning KKL observer is designed to compensate for this delay and to ensure global asymptotic convergence of the estimation of position and speed by using a chain of sub-observers. We employ an unsupervised...

Traffic Delay at Unsignalized Intersections: Clarification of Some Issues

Carlos Daganzo
1977

Investigations in this area have been directed at finding the delay to a motorist who arrives at an intersection and wishes to cross a high-priority traffic stream. In this paper two conceptual errors that have appeared in some past publications are identified and corrected.