Data

Optimal Sampling Strategies for Statistical Models with Discrete Dependent Variables

Daganzo, Carlos F.
1980

The object of this paper is to improve the cost-effectiveness of data gathering procedures for models with discrete dependent variables. It is assumed throughout the paper that the true value of the parameter vector is approximately known and that, with that information, one must select a statistically optimal number of observations from different population subgroups to refine the accuracy of the estimate. It is shown that the problem can be reduced to a small mathematical program whose objective function can be written after a few preliminary algebraic manipulations. For binary choice...

Multinomial Probit with Time-Series Data: Unifying State Dependence and Serial Correlation Models

Daganzo, Carlos F.
Sheffi, Y.
1982

This paper develops a general method for treating discrete data sets containing individuals that have made more than one choice under varying stimuli. The multinomial probit model is shown to possess properties that make it very attractive for this application, as with it, it is possible to develop an estimation process that uses all the information in the data, and is both relatively inexpensive and consistent with utility maximization. The method, which is a generalization of Heckman's binary model, can include taste variations and more than two alternatives.

Extrapolating One-Week Automobile Usage Data to Longer Time Periods

Horowitz, Abraham D.
1983

This study illustrates a statistical procedure that can be used to estimate the fraction of a given population experiencing a “rare” event during a long time period, given a few days of observation. In an automobile usage context, the rare event could be the occurrence of an automobile occupancy of four or more persons and/or a travel distance of 100 miles or more on any given day. The technique, which can be important for the design of durable goods, is illustrated with four numerical examples.

Extrapolating Automobile Usage Data to Long Time Periods

Horowitz, Abraham D.
Daganzo, Carlos F.
1986

This study illustrates a statistical procedure that can be used to estimate the fraction of a given population experiencing a “rare” event during a long time period, given a few days of observation. In an automobile usage context, the rare event could be the occurrence of an automobile occupancy of four or more persons and/or a travel distance of 100 miles or more on any given day. The technique, which can be important for the design of durable goods, is illustrated with four numerical examples.

Bounding the VRP Distance Before Knowing the Location of Points

Daganzo, Carlos F.
1991

This note presents upper bounds for the minimum distance needed to visit n points in a unit circle, with a vehicle fleet based at its center and allowed to visit a maximum of q points per vehicle tour. The paper shows that the minimum distance can never exceed: [2n/q]+ + pi q. If points are randomly and uniformly distributed, and travel can only take place on a ring-radial network, the paper also proves that for q = 0(n**beta), 0 less than beta less than 1/2, the average minimum distance does not exceed: [4n/3q] + 0.82(pi n)**1/2 + 0(q). For the Euclidean metric, it is claimed that a...

Asymptotic Approximations for the Transportation LP and Other Scalable Network Problems

Daganzo, Carlos F.
Smilowitz, Karen R.
2000

Network optimization problems with a "scalable" structure are examined in this report. Scalable networks are embedded in a normed space and must belong to a closed family under certain transformations of size (number of nodes) and scale (dimension of the norm). The transportation problem of linear programming (TLP) with randomly distributed points and random demands, the earthwork minimization problem of highway design, and the distribution of currents in an electric grid are examples of scalable network problems. Asymptotic formulas for the optimum cost are developed for the case where...

Discretization and Validation of the Continuum Approximation Scheme for Terminal System Design

Ouyang, Yanfeng
Daganzo, Carlos F.
2006

This paper proposes an algorithm that automatically translates the “continuum approximation” (CA) recipes for location problems into discrete designs. It applies to terminal systems, but can also be used for other logistics problems. The study also systematically compares the logistics costs predicted by the CA approach with the actual costs for discrete designs obtained with the automated procedure. The predictions are quite accurate. The paper also gives conditions under which the discrete solution has a small optimality gap.

Experimental Investigation of Urban‐Scale Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams

Daganzo, Carlos F.
2008

Robust Tests for the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains with Stochastic Dynamics

Ouyang, Yanfeng
Daganzo, Carlos F.
2016

This paper analyzes the bullwhip effect in single-echelon supply chains driven by arbitrary customer demands and operated nondeterministically. The supply chain, with stochastic system parameters, is modeled as a Markovian jump linear system. The paper presents robust analytical conditions to diagnose the bullwhip effect and bound its magnitude. The tests are independent of the customer demand. Examples are given. Ordering policies that pass these tests, and thus avoid the bullwhip effect in random environments for arbitrary customer demands, are shown to exist. The paper also presents...

Existence of Urban-Scale Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams: Some Experimental Findings

Geroliminis, Nikolaos
Daganzo, Carlos F.
2008

A field experiment in Yokohama (Japan) reveals that a macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) linking space-mean flow, density and speed exists on a large urban area. The experiment used a combination of fixed detectors and floating vehicle probes as sensors. It was observed that when the somewhat chaotic scatter-plots of speed vs. density from individual fixed detectors were aggregated the scatter nearly disappeared and points grouped neatly along a smoothly declining curve. This evidence suggests, but does not prove, that an MFD exists for the complete network because the fixed detectors...